With recovering oil prices and a struggling US Dollar, USD/CAD is declining towards 1.3200 before Canada’s PMI
With recovering oil prices and a struggling US Dollar, USD/CAD is declining towards 1.3200 before Canada’s PMI Amid the recovery in oil prices and ongoing struggles of the US Dollar, the USD/CAD pair is experiencing a downward trend, moving towards the 1.3200 mark ahead of the release of Canada’s PMI. The USD/CAD has slid to […]
Dow futures are indicating a downward trend
Dow futures are indicating a downward trend During the evening trading session on Thursday, U.S. stock futures exhibited a varied performance, following a predominantly positive session for major benchmark averages. This optimistic sentiment was spurred by GDP data that outstripped expectations, thereby bolstering investor confidence. Furthermore, banks saw an upswing after the Federal Reserve announced […]
Anticipation Grows for Possible FX Intervention to Support Japanese Yen
Anticipation Grows for Possible FX Intervention to Support Japanese Yen The Japanese Yen has faced a considerable amount of pressure recently, depreciating by 3.5% against the US Dollar and by over 5.6% against the Euro since the start of the month. The EURJPY pair has ascended to its highest point since September 2008, while the […]
FOMC Skips June, But Signals Hikes Not Done Yet
FOMC Skips June, But Signals Hikes Not Done Yet As widely expected, the FOMC decided unanimously to refrain from raising rates at today’s meeting. However, the Committee continued to say that “additional policy firming” may be appropriate. Furthermore, the median dot for 2023 shifted up by 50 bps. That is, most FOMC members believe that […]
XAU/USD defends 100-day SMA ahead of the crucial FOMC decision
XAU/USD defends 100-day SMA ahead of the crucial FOMC decision Gold price once again attracts some buyers near the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on Wednesday and recovers a part of the previous day’s slide to the weekly low. The XAU/USD sticks to its modest intraday gains heading into the European session and currently trades […]
FOMO Regime Change for US Stock Market
FOMO Regime Change for US Stock Market The laggards, Dow Jones Industrial Average & Russell 2000 have recorded stellar single-day outperformances on Friday, 2 June against the Nasdaq 100; at least a three-month high. Market breadth has improved but fundamental structure remains weak due to stagflation risk. Positive FOMO (“fear of missing out”) flows may […]
EUR/USD: Planning for Friday’s NFP Volatility
EUR/USD: Planning for Friday’s NFP Volatility EUR/USD started June with a 100-pip rally after a volatile end to May. Given the selloff we saw last month, a retracement in early June was to be expected, although I did think a 1.0600 retest might come first. So what should we watch ahead of Friday’s non-farm payroll […]
What if Russia Didn’t Follow OPEC’s Output Cuts?
What if Russia Didn’t Follow OPEC’s Output Cuts? The US 2-year yield fell sharply, while the S&P500 ended flat after hitting a fresh high since last summer on optimism that the US will finally agree to raise the debt ceiling. The House will vote today to decide whether the debt limit bill gets approved at […]
RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement May 2023
RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement May 2023 The RBNZ tightened by 25 points to 5.5 percent and expressed confidence that this will be sufficient to bring inflation back to target. We continue to see risks that the large migration surge will ultimately require more action after July. RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement, May 2023 The RBNZ increased […]
EUR/USD Trying to Extend Bottoming Out
EUR/USD Trying to Extend Bottoming Out U.S. Treasuries and German bunds parted ways Friday after a combined 10 basis point rise the day before. U.S. yields still rose between 1.3and 4.8 basis points, with the belly underperforming. They easily overcame a setback in the early hours of U.S. trading when Fed Chairman Powell said credit […]
US Debt Theater: Final Act?
US Debt Theater: Final Act? Risk sentiment remains poor as the US couldn’t reached an agreement on its debt ceiling. But House Speaker McCarthy hinted that an agreement is possible within days. Despite both sides being far apart, everyone knows the catastrophic consequences of an eventual US default, and no one is ready to push […]
Euro Having Harder Time Against Both Dollar and Sterling
Euro Having Harder Time Against Both Dollar and Sterling The University of Michigan consumer confidence for the month of May unexpectedly set the tone for last week’s trading session WS. The overall indicator fell more than expected, from 63.5 to 57.7, the lowest level since last July. However, markets focused on the prospective inflation expectations […]
JPY Bearish Positioning is Getting Overstretched
JPY Bearish Positioning is Getting Overstretched Better than expected US non-farm payrolls for April have failed to ignite US dollar bulls. Two outliers; the safe haven currencies, CHF and JPY underperformed against the US dollar due to the resurgence of risk-on behavior in the US stock market. JPY future’s bearish positioning has highlighted a risk […]
How To Identify Trading Trends in Forex Market
How To Identify Trading Trends in Forex Market The forex market is the most traded global financial market. In this, participants can exchange a country’s currency for another currency. You can trade actively in this market for 24 hours a day for seven days a week across multiple time zones. Investors trade for a currency […]
Asia Shows its Strength as US Growth Prospects Dwindle
Asia Shows its Strength as US Growth Prospects Dwindle In Australia, the RBA was the focus of market participants’ attention. Outside the country, the RBNZ reaffirmed its hawkish resolve, while U.S. data weakened noticeably. The RBA decided to leave the key interest rate unchanged at 3.60% in April, a decision that was in line with […]