Sentiment Improves as China Data Boosts Hopes of 5% Growth
Sentiment Improves as China Data Boosts Hopes of 5% Growth China’s banks lent a record 4.9 trillion yen in January as the economy reopened from lockdowns. And there was some anticipation to see whether the new loans were making their way through the economy to aid the governments GDP target of around 5% this year. […]
Gold Price Rallies As SVB Failure Casts Doubt for Fed Rate Hikes
Gold Price Rallies As SVB Failure Casts Doubt for Fed Rate Hikes The price of gold carves a series of higher highs and lows following the failed attempt to test the February low of $1805, and the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) may continue to heighten the appeal of bullion as market participants scale […]
EUR/USD Takes Out February Low Ahead of US Jobs Report
EUR/USD Takes Out February Low Ahead of US Jobs Report EUR/USD takes out the February low following the failed attempts to trade back above the 50-day SMA, and developments coming out of the US may keep the exchange rate under pressure as the NFP report is anticipated to show another rise in employment. EUR/USD fails […]
GBP/USD Fed Chair Jerome Powell
GBP/USD Fed Chair Jerome Powell Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that the pace of quarter-point interest-rate increases is not set in stone, and a faster tightening of rates may be warranted if economic data indicates it is necessary. Powell’s follow-up testimony tomorrow will be his last scheduled public remarks on interest-rate policy before the Fed’s […]
AUD/USD Defends January Low Ahead of RBA Rate Decision
AUD/USD Defends January Low Ahead of RBA Rate Decision AUD/USD trades in a narrow range after struggling to push back above the 200-Day SMA, and the Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision may keep the exchange rate afloat as the central bank is expected to implement higher interest rates. AUD/USD appears to be defending the […]
The RBA Expected hike 25bp
The RBA Expected hike 25bp The Reserve Bank of Australia are expected to hike their overnight cash rate by 25bp, which would see the OCR at a 10-year high of 3.6%. We noted in their February meeting that the statement has a hawkish tone, and that the wording suggested at least two more hikes are […]
EUR/USD Rebound Fizzles Ahead of 50-Day SMA
EUR/USD Rebound Fizzles Ahead of 50-Day SMA EUR/USD approaches the 50-day SMA as it extends the rebound from the February low 1.0533, but a slowdown in the Euro Area’s Consumer Price Index may drag on the exchange rate as it encourages the European Central Bank to winddown its hiking-cycle. The decline from the yearly high […]
USD/JPY Regains Strength
USD/JPY Regains Strength USD/JPY climbed higher above the 132.50 resistance zone. A connecting bullish trend line is forming with support near 134.50 on the 4-hour chart. EUR/USD slowly moved below the 1.0620 support zone. The US GDP grew 2.7% in Q4 2022, less than the 2.9% forecast. The US Dollar gained strength for a steady […]
EUR/USD Recovery Attempt Could Face Hurdles
EUR/USD Recovery Attempt Could Face Hurdles EUR/USD traded as low as 1.0612 and is currently correcting losses. A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near 1.0685. GBP/USD is struggling below the 1.2120 resistance zone. Gold price is attempting an upside break above the $1,840 resistance. The Euro remained in a bearish zone below […]
RBA Expected to Hike by 25bps
RBA Expected to Hike by 25bps The RBA are expected to rise interest rates by 25 bp to 3.35% tomorrow, which would take rates to their highest level since September 2012. If so, it would be their fourth consecutive 25bp hike and ninth back-to-back hike this cycle – which is their most aggressive in history. […]
USD/CNH, China’s Economy Expanding
USD/CNH, China’s Economy Expanding The National Bureau of Statistics China released PMI data this week which shows both the manufacturing and services sector are expanding. Appetite for risk has enjoyed a great to start to the year, mostly thanks to China reopening and abandoning their covid-zero policy. It was a key reason as to why […]
The Bank Of England Preview
The Bank Of England Preview The Bank of England has a decision to make tomorrow. It is not “to hike or not to hie”. It is to hike by 25 or 50bps, that’s the question. As well as the rate decision itself, the BoE’s comments on the economic outlook and future tightening, as well as […]
USD/JPY expected slide
USD/JPY expected slide Last year was tough for Japanese yen. USD/JPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of […]
US CPI Preview:- Will lower inflation data cause the Fed to pause
US CPI Preview:- Will lower inflation data cause the Fed to pause In general, inflation has been slowing over the last few months. Tomorrow, markets will get a look at December’s CPI print. Expectations are that the headline print will continue to move lower to 6.5% YoY vs a November reading of 7.1% YoY. Last […]
Gold & silver Struggle Despite Weak US dollar
Gold & silver Struggle Despite Weak US dollar Gold came off its earlier highs while silver turned a touch lower in what has been a quietish day. The US dollar fell further lower, extending it sharp losses from Friday when weak ISM data raised speculation that the Fed will be forced to cut interest rates […]
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, CHF, GBP, CAD, USD
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, CHF, GBP, CAD, USD JPY: Average Cash Earnings y/y, it measures Change in the total value of employment income collected by workers. EUR: German Factory Orders m/m, it measures Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers. EUR: German Retail Sales m/m, it measures Change in […]
The Minutes from the December FOMC meeting
The Minutes from the December FOMC meeting The Minutes from the December FOMC meeting showed that Fed members observed that a slowing of interest rate increases would allow the central bank to assess the progress on inflation and employment. Recall that the FOMC slowed the pace of interest rates increase to 50bps from 75bps the […]
EUR/USD Slides to three week low
EUR/USD Slides to three week low The US dollar is showing strong gains against the majors yesterday, with the exception of the Japanese yen. EUR/USD has tumbled by 1.27% and is trading at 1.0528 in Europe. EUR/USD is sharply lower, despite a very light economic calendar. The only release of note is German CPI, which […]