A Risky Lopsided US Stock Market Performance
A Risky Lopsided US Stock Market Performance The year-to-date performance of the S&P 500 has been heavily skewed by the top 8 market cap stocks (FAANG + MNT). US regional bank fear persists despite the takeover of First Republic Bank by JPMorgan Chase. Markets are looking out for clues on the timing of the first […]
RBA Board Hikes the Cash Rate by 0.25%
RBA Board Hikes the Cash Rate by 0.25% Choosing to raise is the better policy option, even if it is not consistent with our interpretation of the implicit guidelines. The Reserve Bank Board raised the policy rate by another 0.25% at its May meeting, bringing the policy rate to 3.85%. The decision came as a […]
Slightly Easing Price Pressures
Slightly Easing Price Pressures A busy week of data releases and central banks begins on a quiet note. Today we are eager to see if the US ISM manufacturing index for April reflects similar strength to previous PMIs. Early Tuesday morning, we expect the RBA to leave monetary policy unchanged in line with market […]
RBA Board to Pause Again at its May Meeting
RBA Board to Pause Again at its May Meeting The Reserve Bank Board meets next week on May 2. Following the release of the March quarter inflation report Westpac now expects the Board to extend the pause it instigated at its April meeting to the May meeting. This decision comes despite the likelihood that the […]
Temporary First Republic-Related Stress to Fade Further
Temporary First Republic-Related Stress to Fade Further Shares of First Republic remain on a slide, but the spillover to other markets was much less than Tuesday. The new sell-off in the stock came after CNBC reported that the U.S. government is currently unwilling to intervene on behalf of the bank. Advisors to the bank are […]
Caution Prevails Ahead of Big Tech Earnings
Caution Prevails Ahead of Big Tech Earnings Most Asian equities flashed red on Tuesday, pressured by losses in Chinese shares as investors evaluated China’s re-opening story in the face of negative economic and geopolitical forces. European futures are pointing to a mixed open with market players guarded ahead of another event-heavy week for financial markets. […]
EUR/USD Key Resistance Test
EUR/USD Key Resistance Test EUR/USD: EUR/USD continues to struggle with resistance around the 1.1000 level, despite aggressive comments from ECB, which were reiterated in the release of the meeting minutes of the Bank’s latest rate hike. Headline inflation CPI has continued to fall in both the U.S. and Europe, and this week eurozone inflation CPI […]
NZ Consumers Price Index
NZ Consumers Price Index Consumer prices rose 1.2% in the March quarter and are up 6.7% over the past year. The March result was below our forecast, and much lower than the RBNZ’s expectation. New Zealand consumer prices rose 1.2% in the March quarter, with prices up 6.7% over the past 12 months. Today’s result […]
EUR/USD, GBP/USD Hold Near Resistance Ahead of Euro
EUR/USD, GBP/USD Hold Near Resistance Ahead of Euro Both the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pair are holding near key points of resistance with inflation data set to be released from each economy tomorrow morning. While European inflation has fallen as the ECB has lifted rates with tomorrow expected to show at 6.9% for headline CPI, UK […]
US Inflation Expectations Jump, Earnings Season Kicks
US Inflation Expectations Jump, Earnings Season Kicks Despite the softer-than-expected inflation data released earlier last week, US inflation expectations shocked investors at last Friday’s release; the 1-year expectation jumped from 3.6% to 4.6% due to the surprise surge in energy prices. The expectation was a further easing to 3.5%. And energy bulls remain in charge […]
Constructive Developments for the Consumer
Constructive Developments for the Consumer Developments in Australia and the US this week were supportive of our views for the RBA and the FOMC. The Westpac- MI Consumer Confidence Survey provided a positive update on confidence. The RBA’s decision to leave the policy rate unchanged in April proved to be an important support, with the […]
Fed Minutes Showed Recent Banking Turmoil May Result in Lower
Fed Minutes Showed Recent Banking Turmoil May Result in Lower The minutes of the March 21-22, 2023, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting reaffirmed that price and financial stability are of paramount importance to the Fed. Regarding the economy, Committee members noted that “recent indicators point to modest growth in spending and output. At the […]
Solid US Jobs Growth Supports May Hike from Fed
Solid US Jobs Growth Supports May Hike from Fed Today we take a look at Nordic inflation with March figures CPI from Denmark and Norway. In Denmark, we expect a 0.6 percentage point decline to 7.0%, driven by base effects in energy prices. In Norway, we expect core inflation to rise by 0.2 percentage points […]
US Takes Center Stage in this Holiday-Shorted Week
US Takes Center Stage in this Holiday-Shorted Week The steep decline in strength costs over the previous few months prompted March headline inflation in Europe to decline considerably year-over-year (from 8.5% to 6.9%). Rising core inflation and excessive m/m readings on the other hand confirmed that this is solely the effortless phase in the lengthy […]
Australia February Monthly CPI Indicator
Australia February Monthly CPI Indicator The Monthly CPI indicator rose 6.8% in the year to February, compared with the Westpac forecast of 7.4% year-on-year and the market forecast of 7.2% year-on-year. This represents a significant downside risk to our March forecast CPI forecast of 1.5% per quarter. Specifically, the index rose only 0.2% in February […]
Gold Price is trading closeness to new three-month lows
Gold Price is trading closeness to new three-month lows Gold Price is trading closeness to new three-month lows simply above $1,850, as sellers stay in control regardless of the expansive pullback in the US dollar from long term tops. The US Treasury yields settle at the most significant level in over three-year, keeping the drawback […]
Covid (COVID-19) may just affect progressed economies
Covid (COVID-19) may just affect progressed economies. Worldwide monetary movement stayed strong toward the beginning of 2022, with review information showing that the Omicron variation of the Covid (COVID-19) may just affect progressed economies. A few elements highlight slow development likewise in the period ahead. The war is now burdening the certainty of businesses and […]
Gold is expected to dropped low further due to rise in Euro region yields
Gold is expected to dropped low further due to rise in Euro region yields. As per analysis, XAUUSD went under some restored selling tension on Friday and dropped to an almost fourteen day low, around the $1,930 locale during the primary half o the European session. The discourse from Fed chair Jerome Powell at an […]