Dollar firm ahead of Powell testimony, sterling up on hot inflation
Dollar firm ahead of Powell testimony, sterling up on hot inflation The dollar was firmer on Wednesday leading into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s appearance before Congress where he is expected to strike a hawkish tone, while sterling firmed slightly after hotter-than-expected British inflation data. The annual pace of British consumer price gains was steady […]
Dollar in demand as modest China rate cut hits sentiment
Dollar in demand as modest China rate cut hits sentiment The U.S. dollar gained in early European trade Tuesday, with this safe haven in demand as a rate cut by China’s central bank failed to assuage investor concerns over slowing economic growth. At 01:55 ET (05:55 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against […]
US Markets Closed for Juneteenth Holiday
US Markets Closed for Juneteenth Holiday The consumer confidence of the University of Michigan was he only market relevant data release on Friday, but it brought somewhat of a mixed message, especially for bond investors. Consumers’ assessment, both on current conditions (63.9 from 59.2) and on expectations (68.0 from 64.9) printed stronger than expected but […]
US Dollar holds steady to start week, eyes on central bank speak
US Dollar holds steady to start week, eyes on central bank speak The US Dollar (USD) holds steady early Monday after having suffered large losses against its major rivals last week. Stock and bond markets in the US will be closed in observance of the Juneteenth holiday. The European economic docket will not be featuring […]
Euro Rallies after ECB Raises Rates and Inflation Forecasts
Euro Rallies after ECB Raises Rates and Inflation Forecasts It was mostly a good day for the global markets, except for Europe, which saw the European Central Bank (ECB) expectedly raise interest rates by 25bp, but unexpectedly raised inflation forecast, as well. European policy makers now expect core inflation to average past the 5% mark, […]
FOMC Skips June, But Signals Hikes Not Done Yet
FOMC Skips June, But Signals Hikes Not Done Yet As widely expected, the FOMC decided unanimously to refrain from raising rates at today’s meeting. However, the Committee continued to say that “additional policy firming” may be appropriate. Furthermore, the median dot for 2023 shifted up by 50 bps. That is, most FOMC members believe that […]
USD/CAD at Risk on Hawkish BoC but Fed May Be a Spoiler
USD/CAD at Risk on Hawkish BoC but Fed May Be a Spoiler The Canadian dollar has appreciated sharply against the U.S. dollar since late May. The chart below shows how USD/CAD has fallen more than 2.0% over the past two weeks, with the pair now trading near C$1.3350 and steadily approaching its 2023 lows. Bank […]
Surprise BoC Hike Fuels Hawks Around the World
Surprise BoC Hike Fuels Hawks Around the World The surprise 25bp hike from the Bank of Canada (BoC) yesterday sent shockwaves across the financial markets. BoC decision to resume its rate hikes after a two-meeting pause and the surprise 25bp from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) a day earlier fueled the central bank hawks […]
GBP/USD struggles to surpass 1.2450, upside seems favored despite hawkish Fed bets improve
GBP/USD struggles to surpass 1.2450, upside seems favored despite hawkish Fed bets improve The GBP/USD pair has witnessed delicate barricades after climbing to near 1.2450 in the early European session. The Cable is expected to remain on tenterhooks as the USD Dollar Index (DXY) has attempted a recovery after dropping to near 103.81. More downside […]
RBA Board to Pause Again at its May Meeting
RBA Board to Pause Again at its May Meeting The Reserve Bank Board meets next week on May 2. Following the release of the March quarter inflation report Westpac now expects the Board to extend the pause it instigated at its April meeting to the May meeting. This decision comes despite the likelihood that the […]
Fed Minutes Showed Recent Banking Turmoil May Result in Lower
Fed Minutes Showed Recent Banking Turmoil May Result in Lower The minutes of the March 21-22, 2023, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting reaffirmed that price and financial stability are of paramount importance to the Fed. Regarding the economy, Committee members noted that “recent indicators point to modest growth in spending and output. At the […]
Solid US Jobs Growth Supports May Hike from Fed
Solid US Jobs Growth Supports May Hike from Fed Today we take a look at Nordic inflation with March figures CPI from Denmark and Norway. In Denmark, we expect a 0.6 percentage point decline to 7.0%, driven by base effects in energy prices. In Norway, we expect core inflation to rise by 0.2 percentage points […]
USD/JPY Outlook Mired by Failure to Test December High
USD/JPY Outlook Mired by Failure to Test December High USD/JPY appears to be reversing ahead of the December 2022 high 138.18 as it fails to hold above 200-day SMA, but the Bank Of Japan interest rate decision may curb the recent decline in the exchange rate as the central bank is expected to retain its […]
EUR/USD Takes Out February Low Ahead of US Jobs Report
EUR/USD Takes Out February Low Ahead of US Jobs Report EUR/USD takes out the February low following the failed attempts to trade back above the 50-day SMA, and developments coming out of the US may keep the exchange rate under pressure as the NFP report is anticipated to show another rise in employment. EUR/USD fails […]
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, GBP, USD, NZD, AUD
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, GBP, USD, NZD, AUD JPY: Tokyo Core CPI y/y, it measures Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers in Tokyo, excluding fresh food. NZD: TANZ Business Confidence, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, retailers, agricultural firms, and service providers. AUD: […]
Gold & silver Struggle Despite Weak US dollar
Gold & silver Struggle Despite Weak US dollar Gold came off its earlier highs while silver turned a touch lower in what has been a quietish day. The US dollar fell further lower, extending it sharp losses from Friday when weak ISM data raised speculation that the Fed will be forced to cut interest rates […]
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, CHF, GBP, CAD, USD
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, CHF, GBP, CAD, USD JPY: Average Cash Earnings y/y, it measures Change in the total value of employment income collected by workers. EUR: German Factory Orders m/m, it measures Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers. EUR: German Retail Sales m/m, it measures Change in […]
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, GBP, USD, CAD
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, GBP, USD, CAD JPY: Monetary Base y/y, it measures Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and current account deposits held at the BOJ. JPY: 10-y Bond Auction, it measures Average yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction. […]