EUR/USD Rebound Fizzles Ahead of 50-Day SMA
EUR/USD Rebound Fizzles Ahead of 50-Day SMA EUR/USD approaches the 50-day SMA as it extends the rebound from the February low 1.0533, but a slowdown in the Euro Area’s Consumer Price Index may drag on the exchange rate as it encourages the European Central Bank to winddown its hiking-cycle. The decline from the yearly high […]
NZD/CHF Wave Analysis
NZD/CHF Wave Analysis NZDCHF reversed from support level 0.5750 Likely to rise to resistance level 0.5830 NZDCHF recently reversed up from the key support level 0.5750. The support level 0.5750 coincided with the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward ABC correction from the start of October. NZDCHF can be expected to rise further […]
GBP/USD Could Recover If Bulls Clear This Hurdle
GBP/USD Could Recover If Bulls Clear This Hurdle GBP/USD retested key 1.1920 support zone. A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near 1.2060. EUR/USD is attempting a recovery wave above the 1.0600 resistance zone. Gold price is struggling to stay above the $1,800 support. The British Pound started a fresh decline from well […]
EUR/USD slides further as the Dollar gains steadily
EUR/USD slides further as the Dollar gains steadily EUR/USD extended its decline below the 1.0600 support. A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near 1.0580 on the 4-hours chart. GBP/USD could dive if it breaks the 1.1920 support. Gold price is at risk of a move below the $1,800 support. The Euro started […]
FOMC Minutes Instant Insight
FOMC Minutes Instant Insight In their January meeting, Fed officials agreed to continue rate hikes until high inflation is controlled. The Fed is still attuned to the risk they may have to do more to keep inflation falling, a hawkish tilt that may come into more precise view when policymakers issue new interest rate and […]
RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement Feb 2023
RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement Feb 2023 The Reserve Bank raised the official Cash Rate by 50 basis points to 4.75%, and maintained its projection of a 5.5% peak in the coming months. There was almost no change to the projected OCR track compared to the November policy statement. The OCR is still expected to peak […]
European Flash PMI’s and Canada Inflation Report
European Flash PMI’s and Canada Inflation Report Australia’s ASX 200 index fell by -12.7 points and currently trades at 7,338.80 Japan’s Nikkei 225 index has fallen by -37.31 points and currently trades at 27,494.63 Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index has fallen by -207.23 points and currently trades at 20,679.73 China’s A50 Index has fallen by […]
EUR/USD Recovery Attempt Could Face Hurdles
EUR/USD Recovery Attempt Could Face Hurdles EUR/USD traded as low as 1.0612 and is currently correcting losses. A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near 1.0685. GBP/USD is struggling below the 1.2120 resistance zone. Gold price is attempting an upside break above the $1,840 resistance. The Euro remained in a bearish zone below […]
NZD/USD Fails to Push Back Above 50-Day SMA
NZD/USD Fails to Push Back Above 50-Day SMA NZD/USD appears to be stuck in a narrow range as it holds above the weekly low, but the exchange rate may struggle to retain the advance from the January low as it fails to trade back above the 50-day SMA. Unlike the price action in January, NZD/USD […]
Powell Continues to be “Less Hawkish”
Powell Continues to be “Less Hawkish” Fed Chairman Powell continued with his less hawkish commentary today. He started by noting once again that the disinflationary process has started, but it will be bumpy. He also noted that it will be a long process. As a result, the US Dollar initially sold off while stocks moved […]
25bp Hawkish Hike from the RBA
25bp Hawkish Hike from the RBA The RBA hiked the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 3.35% Underlying inflation was above expectations to 6.9% Strong domestic demand is adding to the inflationary pressures CPI is expected to decline this year due to global factors and slower growth in domestic demand Medium-term inflation expectations […]
RBA Expected to Hike by 25bps
RBA Expected to Hike by 25bps The RBA are expected to rise interest rates by 25 bp to 3.35% tomorrow, which would take rates to their highest level since September 2012. If so, it would be their fourth consecutive 25bp hike and ninth back-to-back hike this cycle – which is their most aggressive in history. […]
USD/CNH, China’s Economy Expanding
USD/CNH, China’s Economy Expanding The National Bureau of Statistics China released PMI data this week which shows both the manufacturing and services sector are expanding. Appetite for risk has enjoyed a great to start to the year, mostly thanks to China reopening and abandoning their covid-zero policy. It was a key reason as to why […]
FOMC Hikes Rates and Signals More to Come
FOMC Hikes Rates and Signals More to Come As universally expected, the FOMC raised its target range for the federal funds rate by 25 bps at the conclusion of its policy meeting today. But the tightening cycle likely is not over yet as the FOMC noted that it “anticipates that ongoing increases in the target […]
The Bank Of England Preview
The Bank Of England Preview The Bank of England has a decision to make tomorrow. It is not “to hike or not to hie”. It is to hike by 25 or 50bps, that’s the question. As well as the rate decision itself, the BoE’s comments on the economic outlook and future tightening, as well as […]
Currency Pair of the Week: EUR/USD
Currency Pair of the Week: EUR/USD The pair started on a positive note thanks for Spain’s Harmonized CPI, which came in at +5.8 YoY vs 4.7% YoY expected and +5.5% YoY last. Today, Markets will get a look at CPI from France and Germany, ahead of the Eurozone January Preliminary CPI tomorrow. Expectations are for […]
Australian Dollar Bright Start in 2023
Australian Dollar Bright Start in 2023 The Australia dollar has started 2023 strongly, rising above 70 cents to highs since August. A softer USD and improved China sentiment have been key. This week’s highlights include Australia’s jobs data, the Bank of Japan decision and US retail sales. The SUD has risen about 1.6 cents or […]
GBP/USD Drifting: The British Pound Is Drifting
GBP/USD Drifting: The British Pound Is Drifting The British Pound is drifting for a third day straight. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2161, down 0.09%. We could see stronger volatility from the pound before the weekend, with the release of the US inflation report and UK GDP on Friday, both of which […]