US-China Resume Climate Talks, Vow Big Steps
US-China Resume Climate Talks, Vow Big Steps John Kerry, the US Climate Envoy, initiated his first significant climate discussions with Chinese officials in almost a year. Despite the profound tensions between the two superpowers, both sides committed to achieving practical results. Xie Zhenhua, China’s climate envoy, indicated on Monday that China is pursuing substantial dialogue […]
EUR/USD Volatility Rises Above 1.1200 Ahead of US Retail Sales
EUR/USD Volatility Rises Above 1.1200 Ahead of US Retail Sales As the anticipated US Retail Sales data for June looms, the EUR/USD pair has experienced a noticeable increase in volatility, crossing the significant 1.1200 threshold. This major currency pair has found a degree of stability as investors from around the globe eagerly await these crucial […]
China’s ability to implement monetary stimulus is limited as the yuan approaches a 15-year low
China’s ability to implement monetary stimulus is limited as the yuan approaches a 15-year low As China’s yuan edges closer to a 15-year low against the dollar, the country’s capacity to stimulate its struggling economy via monetary policies is increasingly constrained. In Shanghai, the yuan was trading at 7.244 against the dollar at the end […]
With recovering oil prices and a struggling US Dollar, USD/CAD is declining towards 1.3200 before Canada’s PMI
With recovering oil prices and a struggling US Dollar, USD/CAD is declining towards 1.3200 before Canada’s PMI Amid the recovery in oil prices and ongoing struggles of the US Dollar, the USD/CAD pair is experiencing a downward trend, moving towards the 1.3200 mark ahead of the release of Canada’s PMI. The USD/CAD has slid to […]
Japan’s Top Currency Diplomat Warns Against Weakening Yen
Japan’s Top Currency Diplomat Warns Against Weakening Yen Masato Kanda, Japan’s leading currency diplomat, has raised concerns over the weakening yen, asserting that Japan will contemplate all possible measures to address excessive currency fluctuations. Kanda stressed the importance of stable currency movements that mirror economic fundamentals, as the yen recently depreciated beyond ¥143 against the […]
Inflation and Recession Worries Take Center Stage This Week
Inflation and Recession Worries Take Center Stage This Week US The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is anticipated to end its rate-hiking campaign shortly. Attention will turn to Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) readings, hoping for a decline in inflation. A decrease in inflation may boost swap futures’ confidence in one more Fed rate hike. Wall Street […]
German Economy Slows in June as Businesses Encounter Weakening Demand Conditions
German Economy Slows in June as Businesses Encounter Weakening Demand Conditions The German economy experienced a marked loss of momentum during the latter part of the second quarter, according to the latest ‘flash’ PMI survey conducted by Hamburg Commercial Bank. Weakening demand conditions led to a significant slowdown in business activity growth, while company expectations […]
Dollar Exhibits Initial Indications of Bottoming
Dollar Exhibits Initial Indications of Bottoming Yesterday, several central banks, including the Bank of England, Norges Bank, Swiss National Bank, and the Central Bank of Turkey, took center stage as they grappled with higher-than-expected inflation. This inflation surge was partly due to a robust job market driving increased demand. Interestingly, even with more substantial interest […]
Trade Deficit in New Zealand Grows Despite Boost in China Exports
Trade Deficit in New Zealand Grows Despite Boost in China Exports Despite a boost in exports to China, New Zealand’s trade deficit broadened in May. The deficit increased from NZ$17.02 billion to NZ$17.12 billion, falling just short of economists’ prediction of NZ$17.24 billion. Concurrently, the monthly trade surplus shrank from NZ$236 million to NZ$46 million. […]
RBA Minutes Less Hawkish Than Expected, For Now
RBA Minutes Less Hawkish Than Expected, For Now The Board sees increased inflation risks while recognizing prospect of weakening economy. And rising unemployment rate. The Minutes from the Reserve Bank Board’s meeting in June provide a more balanced approach to the outlook for rates than we saw in the Governor’s statement following the decision to […]
Dollar in demand as modest China rate cut hits sentiment
Dollar in demand as modest China rate cut hits sentiment The U.S. dollar gained in early European trade Tuesday, with this safe haven in demand as a rate cut by China’s central bank failed to assuage investor concerns over slowing economic growth. At 01:55 ET (05:55 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against […]
US Markets Closed for Juneteenth Holiday
US Markets Closed for Juneteenth Holiday The consumer confidence of the University of Michigan was he only market relevant data release on Friday, but it brought somewhat of a mixed message, especially for bond investors. Consumers’ assessment, both on current conditions (63.9 from 59.2) and on expectations (68.0 from 64.9) printed stronger than expected but […]
Euro Rallies after ECB Raises Rates and Inflation Forecasts
Euro Rallies after ECB Raises Rates and Inflation Forecasts It was mostly a good day for the global markets, except for Europe, which saw the European Central Bank (ECB) expectedly raise interest rates by 25bp, but unexpectedly raised inflation forecast, as well. European policy makers now expect core inflation to average past the 5% mark, […]
Dollar rebounds from one / month low yen under pressure after BOJ meeting
Dollar rebounds from one/month low yen under pressure after BOJ meeting The U.S. dollar edged higher in early European trade Friday, rebounding after hefty overnight losses following weak economic data, while the Japanese yen weakened as the Bank of Japan maintained its interest rates at very low levels. At 01:45 ET (05:45 GMT), the Dollar […]
FOMC Skips June, But Signals Hikes Not Done Yet
FOMC Skips June, But Signals Hikes Not Done Yet As widely expected, the FOMC decided unanimously to refrain from raising rates at today’s meeting. However, the Committee continued to say that “additional policy firming” may be appropriate. Furthermore, the median dot for 2023 shifted up by 50 bps. That is, most FOMC members believe that […]
Dollar surges after Fed signals more rate hikes ahead
Dollar surges after Fed signals more rate hikes ahead The U.S. dollar rallied in early European trade Thursday, boosted by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish projection of more tightening this year, while the euro weakened ahead of the latest European Central Bank policy meeting. At 02:05 ET (06:05 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback […]
A Busy Week for Central Banks
A Busy Week for Central Banks Sentiment is cautiously bullish into the next US CPI figure, due tomorrow, and the next FOMC decision due Wednesday. U.S. inflation is expected to have fallen to 4.1% in May from 4.9%, and core inflation is estimated to be lower at 5.3% from 5.5% published the previous month earlier. […]
Weak Chinese Trade Data Add to Growth Worries
Weak Chinese Trade Data Add to Growth Worries German Bunds outperformed US Treasuries during European trading hours following an unexpectedly strong decrease of inflation expectations in the ECB’s April Consumer Expectations Survey. The divergence between the two became even larger as US Treasuries started underperforming (especially at the front end the curve) during the US […]