25bp Hawkish Hike from the RBA
25bp Hawkish Hike from the RBA The RBA hiked the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 3.35% Underlying inflation was above expectations to 6.9% Strong domestic demand is adding to the inflationary pressures CPI is expected to decline this year due to global factors and slower growth in domestic demand Medium-term inflation expectations […]
RBA Expected to Hike by 25bps
RBA Expected to Hike by 25bps The RBA are expected to rise interest rates by 25 bp to 3.35% tomorrow, which would take rates to their highest level since September 2012. If so, it would be their fourth consecutive 25bp hike and ninth back-to-back hike this cycle – which is their most aggressive in history. […]
USD/CNH, China’s Economy Expanding
USD/CNH, China’s Economy Expanding The National Bureau of Statistics China released PMI data this week which shows both the manufacturing and services sector are expanding. Appetite for risk has enjoyed a great to start to the year, mostly thanks to China reopening and abandoning their covid-zero policy. It was a key reason as to why […]
FOMC Hikes Rates and Signals More to Come
FOMC Hikes Rates and Signals More to Come As universally expected, the FOMC raised its target range for the federal funds rate by 25 bps at the conclusion of its policy meeting today. But the tightening cycle likely is not over yet as the FOMC noted that it “anticipates that ongoing increases in the target […]
The Bank Of England Preview
The Bank Of England Preview The Bank of England has a decision to make tomorrow. It is not “to hike or not to hie”. It is to hike by 25 or 50bps, that’s the question. As well as the rate decision itself, the BoE’s comments on the economic outlook and future tightening, as well as […]
Currency Pair of the Week: EUR/USD
Currency Pair of the Week: EUR/USD The pair started on a positive note thanks for Spain’s Harmonized CPI, which came in at +5.8 YoY vs 4.7% YoY expected and +5.5% YoY last. Today, Markets will get a look at CPI from France and Germany, ahead of the Eurozone January Preliminary CPI tomorrow. Expectations are for […]
Upcoming Market Updates: EUR, CNY
Upcoming Market Updates: EUR, CNY EUR: Spanish Flash CPI y/y, it measures Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers. CNY: CB Leading Index m/m, it measures Change in the level of a composite index based on 8 economic indicators.
USD/JPY expected slide
USD/JPY expected slide Last year was tough for Japanese yen. USD/JPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of […]
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, GBP, USD, NZD, AUD
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, GBP, USD, NZD, AUD JPY: Tokyo Core CPI y/y, it measures Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers in Tokyo, excluding fresh food. NZD: TANZ Business Confidence, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, retailers, agricultural firms, and service providers. AUD: […]
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, GBP, USD
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, GBP, USD JPY: BOJ Summary of Opinions, It’s the primary tool the BOJ uses to communicate their economic and monetary projections to investors. JPY: SPPI y/y, it measures Change in the price of services purchased by corporations. EUR: Spanish Unemployment Rate, it measures Percentage of total work force that is […]
Gold Steady and Dollar Undermined
Gold Steady and Dollar Undermined: After silver’s big plunge on Monday, both precious metals have managed to steady the ship, suggesting the move at the start of the week was probably a bear trap. The US Dollar has come back against the Canadian dollar thanks to a 25- basis point rate hike from the […]
Australia CPI:
Australia CPI: Headline CPI 1.9%qtr/7.8%yr; Trimmed Mean 1.7%qtr6.9%yr; Weighted Median 1.6%qtr5.8%yr. Hospitality services most important factor in the upside surprise in the December quarter but with the Trimmed Mean coming in broadly as expected this suggests the pace of core inflation is generally unfolding as we expected. The CPI lifted 1.9% in the December quarter […]
Upcoming Market Updates:
Upcoming Market Updates: AUD: MI Leading Index m/m, it measures Change in the level of a composite index based on 9 economic indicators. AUD: CPI q/q, it measures Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers. AUD: CPI y/y, it measures Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers. […]
Upcoming Market Updates: AUD, JPY, CHF, EUR, GBP, USD, CHF, NZD
Upcoming Market Updates: AUD, JPY, CHF, EUR, GBP, USD, CHF, NZD AUD: Flash Manufacturing PMI, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry. AUD: Flash Services PMI, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry. AUD: NAB Business Confidence, […]
25bp Hike from Bank Of Canada expected
25bp Hike from Bank Of Canada expected The Bank of Canada are expected to hike interest rates by 25bp tomorrow according to market pricing and economists. The hike would see their benchmark rate rise to 4.5% – its highest level since October 2007 – and on par with the Fed yet above the RBNZ’s 4.25% […]
Upcoming Market Updates:
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY: Bank Lending y/y, it measures Change in the total value of outstanding bank loans issued to consumers and businesses. JPY: Current Account, it measures Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the reported month. AUD: Trade Balance, it measures Difference in value between […]
GBP/USD: Pound Counts on the Best.
GBP/USD: Pound Counts on the Best. As in the US, retail sales in the UK also went down. They fell -1.0% in December, which is significantly lower than the forecast +0.5%. Analysts note that real spending in the country was significantly ahead of GDP in 2020-2022, but the rise in inflation led to a sharp […]
Australian Dollar Bright Start in 2023
Australian Dollar Bright Start in 2023 The Australia dollar has started 2023 strongly, rising above 70 cents to highs since August. A softer USD and improved China sentiment have been key. This week’s highlights include Australia’s jobs data, the Bank of Japan decision and US retail sales. The SUD has risen about 1.6 cents or […]