Preview of NZ Q4 GDP
Preview of NZ Q4 GDP The expectation is 0.2% fall in GDP for the December Quarter, following two quarters of extremely strong growth. This does not necessarily mark the start of a recession. GDP data has been choppy since Covid, and the details don’t tell a consistent story about whether monetary policy is biting. Nevertheless, […]
USD/JPY Outlook Mired by Failure to Test December High
USD/JPY Outlook Mired by Failure to Test December High USD/JPY appears to be reversing ahead of the December 2022 high 138.18 as it fails to hold above 200-day SMA, but the Bank Of Japan interest rate decision may curb the recent decline in the exchange rate as the central bank is expected to retain its […]
EUR/USD Takes Out February Low Ahead of US Jobs Report
EUR/USD Takes Out February Low Ahead of US Jobs Report EUR/USD takes out the February low following the failed attempts to trade back above the 50-day SMA, and developments coming out of the US may keep the exchange rate under pressure as the NFP report is anticipated to show another rise in employment. EUR/USD fails […]
GBP/USD Fed Chair Jerome Powell
GBP/USD Fed Chair Jerome Powell Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that the pace of quarter-point interest-rate increases is not set in stone, and a faster tightening of rates may be warranted if economic data indicates it is necessary. Powell’s follow-up testimony tomorrow will be his last scheduled public remarks on interest-rate policy before the Fed’s […]
AUD/USD Defends January Low Ahead of RBA Rate Decision
AUD/USD Defends January Low Ahead of RBA Rate Decision AUD/USD trades in a narrow range after struggling to push back above the 200-Day SMA, and the Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision may keep the exchange rate afloat as the central bank is expected to implement higher interest rates. AUD/USD appears to be defending the […]
The RBA Expected hike 25bp
The RBA Expected hike 25bp The Reserve Bank of Australia are expected to hike their overnight cash rate by 25bp, which would see the OCR at a 10-year high of 3.6%. We noted in their February meeting that the statement has a hawkish tone, and that the wording suggested at least two more hikes are […]
The Week Head:- BOJ, RBA and BOC Meetings
The Week Head:- BOJ, RBA and BOC Meetings An exciting week for markets, with three major currency central banks announcing their monetary policy decisions and a Nonfarm payroll report. The RBA’s meeting on Tuesday is the most likely to be the live one, but don’t write off the BOJ’s ability of surprising market at Governor […]
EUR/USD Rebound Fizzles Ahead of 50-Day SMA
EUR/USD Rebound Fizzles Ahead of 50-Day SMA EUR/USD approaches the 50-day SMA as it extends the rebound from the February low 1.0533, but a slowdown in the Euro Area’s Consumer Price Index may drag on the exchange rate as it encourages the European Central Bank to winddown its hiking-cycle. The decline from the yearly high […]
NZD/CHF Wave Analysis
NZD/CHF Wave Analysis NZDCHF reversed from support level 0.5750 Likely to rise to resistance level 0.5830 NZDCHF recently reversed up from the key support level 0.5750. The support level 0.5750 coincided with the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward ABC correction from the start of October. NZDCHF can be expected to rise further […]
GBP/USD Could Recover If Bulls Clear This Hurdle
GBP/USD Could Recover If Bulls Clear This Hurdle GBP/USD retested key 1.1920 support zone. A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near 1.2060. EUR/USD is attempting a recovery wave above the 1.0600 resistance zone. Gold price is struggling to stay above the $1,800 support. The British Pound started a fresh decline from well […]
EUR/USD slides further as the Dollar gains steadily
EUR/USD slides further as the Dollar gains steadily EUR/USD extended its decline below the 1.0600 support. A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near 1.0580 on the 4-hours chart. GBP/USD could dive if it breaks the 1.1920 support. Gold price is at risk of a move below the $1,800 support. The Euro started […]
USD/JPY Regains Strength
USD/JPY Regains Strength USD/JPY climbed higher above the 132.50 resistance zone. A connecting bullish trend line is forming with support near 134.50 on the 4-hour chart. EUR/USD slowly moved below the 1.0620 support zone. The US GDP grew 2.7% in Q4 2022, less than the 2.9% forecast. The US Dollar gained strength for a steady […]
FOMC Minutes Instant Insight
FOMC Minutes Instant Insight In their January meeting, Fed officials agreed to continue rate hikes until high inflation is controlled. The Fed is still attuned to the risk they may have to do more to keep inflation falling, a hawkish tilt that may come into more precise view when policymakers issue new interest rate and […]
RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement Feb 2023
RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement Feb 2023 The Reserve Bank raised the official Cash Rate by 50 basis points to 4.75%, and maintained its projection of a 5.5% peak in the coming months. There was almost no change to the projected OCR track compared to the November policy statement. The OCR is still expected to peak […]
European Flash PMI’s and Canada Inflation Report
European Flash PMI’s and Canada Inflation Report Australia’s ASX 200 index fell by -12.7 points and currently trades at 7,338.80 Japan’s Nikkei 225 index has fallen by -37.31 points and currently trades at 27,494.63 Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index has fallen by -207.23 points and currently trades at 20,679.73 China’s A50 Index has fallen by […]
EUR/USD Recovery Attempt Could Face Hurdles
EUR/USD Recovery Attempt Could Face Hurdles EUR/USD traded as low as 1.0612 and is currently correcting losses. A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near 1.0685. GBP/USD is struggling below the 1.2120 resistance zone. Gold price is attempting an upside break above the $1,840 resistance. The Euro remained in a bearish zone below […]
NZD/USD Fails to Push Back Above 50-Day SMA
NZD/USD Fails to Push Back Above 50-Day SMA NZD/USD appears to be stuck in a narrow range as it holds above the weekly low, but the exchange rate may struggle to retain the advance from the January low as it fails to trade back above the 50-day SMA. Unlike the price action in January, NZD/USD […]
Powell Continues to be “Less Hawkish”
Powell Continues to be “Less Hawkish” Fed Chairman Powell continued with his less hawkish commentary today. He started by noting once again that the disinflationary process has started, but it will be bumpy. He also noted that it will be a long process. As a result, the US Dollar initially sold off while stocks moved […]