{"id":15349,"date":"2022-09-19T05:46:34","date_gmt":"2022-09-19T05:46:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.xtreamforex.com\/?p=15349"},"modified":"2022-09-19T05:46:34","modified_gmt":"2022-09-19T05:46:34","slug":"usd-index-cot-data-from-the-commitments-of-traders-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.xtrememarkets.com\/MU\/usd-index-cot-data-from-the-commitments-of-traders-report\/","title":{"rendered":"USD Index COT Data from the commitments of traders report"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>USD Index COT Data from the commitments of traders report<\/h1>\n<p>US bond yields have continued to rise in an almost parabolic fashion, with 1 year note now just shy of 4%, and the 2-year at 3.8% with an increasingly inverted yield curve. And large speculators are not shy in capitalizing on these lower bond prices- which move inversely to bond yields. Last week they were net-short the 2 year treasury note by-358k contracts, which is their most <a href=\"https:\/\/www.xtrememarkets.com\/mu\/\"><strong>bearish position<\/strong><\/a> since April 2021.<\/p>\n<p>The net-short exposure over time it could be argued it is approaching a sentiment extreme.<br \/>\nNet-short exposure hasn\u2019t ever spent much below -350k.<br \/>\nIt\u2019s 3-year Z-score is -2.3 standard deviations.<br \/>\nIt\u2019s 1-year SD is 2.9<br \/>\nThere are 4.6 bears for every bull.<\/p>\n<p>But to try and pick a top in yields with some banks now forecasting the Fed to raise rates to 5% next years, it would take a brave trader to try and fight this trend. But what we can see is that traders seem confident that yields could rise further, even at a potential sentiment extreme.<\/p>\n<p>Traders reduced net-short exposure to silver at their fastest weekly pace in 6-months<br \/>\nLarge speculators decreased net-long exposure to gold for a fifth consecutive week<br \/>\nManaged funds were net-short for a second consecutive week<\/p>\n<p>Commodities were broadly under pressure from the US dollar last week, silver posted a 2% gain. And it appears partly down to short-covering alongside an increase of bullish interest. Large speculators closed -6.5k contracts and 1.7k long contracts were opened. This saw net-short exposure rise at its fastes weekly pace in 6-months. Managed funds also added 4.5k long contracts and closed -11.9k short contracts. So we\u2019ll watch silver prices to see if it can break back above $20 before reverting to bullish bias.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD Index COT Data from the commitments of traders report US bond yields have continued to rise in an almost parabolic fashion, with 1 year note now just shy of 4%, and the 2-year at 3.8% with an increasingly inverted yield curve. And large speculators are not shy in capitalizing on these lower bond prices-<\/p>\n... <a href=\"https:\/\/www.xtrememarkets.com\/MU\/usd-index-cot-data-from-the-commitments-of-traders-report\/\">continue reading<\/a>.","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[17],"tags":[268,265,187,24,162,293,201],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v16.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\r\n<title>USD Index COT Data from the commitments of traders report<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"US bond yields have continued to rise in an almost parabolic fashion, with 1 year note now just shy of 4%, and the 2-year at 3.8% with an increasingly inverted yield curve.\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.xtrememarkets.com\/MU\/usd-index-cot-data-from-the-commitments-of-traders-report\/\" 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